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  ]
]

Konjunkturlage der Stahl- und Metallverarbeitenden Industrien

von unsem Gastkommentator

Aufholprozess mit angezogener Bremse


„Die mittelständischen Industrien sehen einen Lichtschimmer am Horizont. Mehr aber auch nicht – die Kosten belasten zu sehr.“ So bewertet der Wirtschaftsverband Stahl- und Metallverarbeitung (WSM) die konjunkturelle Lage angesichts der jüngsten vorläufigen Zahlen des Statistischen Bundesamtes. Sie zeigen für 2021 beim Produktionswachstum ein Plus von 10,4 Prozent im Vergleich zu 2020 – aber auch ein Minus von 3,5 Prozent gegenüber dem Vorkrisenjahr. Ob insbesondere die gebeutelten Automobilzulieferer bald weitere Punkte gutmachen können, ist – neben der Überwindung der Lieferengpässe – eine Kostenfrage: Steigende Material-, Energie- und Logistikbelastungen sowie wachsende Klimaschutzanforderungen bremsen den Aufholprozess ab. „Wir brauchen hier dringend politische Unterstützung, um die internationale Wettbewerbsfähigkeit der verarbeitenden Branchen und ihre Arbeitsplätze zu erhalten“, fordert daher der WSM.

Stabile Material- und Teileversorgung könnte Produktionszuwachs weiter steigern

2021 haben vor allem Materialengpässe das Produktionswachstum gestoppt – laut WSM hätten Auftragslage und Kapazitätsauslastung sonst ein größeres Plus ermöglicht. Ob, wann und wie sich die Lieferketten 2022 entspannen, ist noch unklar, aber die Automobilhersteller zeigen sich für die zweite Jahreshälfte vorsichtig optimistisch. Dieser Lichtschimmer hebt die Prognose ihrer Zulieferer für die nächsten sechs Monate um vier Prozent an. Bei einer Stabilisierung der Material- und Teileversorgung könnte laut WSM für 2022 insgesamt sogar ein Produktionszuwachs von rund sieben Prozent erreichbar sein.


Zusatzbelastungen hemmen positive Entwicklung

Der Lichtstreif am Horizont verliert allerdings an Leuchtkraft, wenn die Politik die Unternehmen im Stich
lässt. Denn am Zuliefererhimmel sind längst neue Wolkenfelder aufgezogen: extrem ansteigende
Vormaterial-, Energie- und Logistikkosten einerseits und die Forderung nach einer schnellen
Transformation zur CO₂-neutralen Produktion andererseits. Auch wenn die Konjunktur sich positiv
entwickelt, werden diese Zusatzbelastungen ohne politische Hilfe für die meist mittelständisch
aufgestellten Unternehmen zum Hemmschuh.

Transformation: „Internationale Wettbewerbsfähigkeit des verarbeitenden Gewerbes erhalten“

„Die Bundesregierung muss die weitreichenden Anpassungen rund um die Transformation über
sämtliche Wertschöpfungsstufen begleiten. So wie wir es auch beim Carbon Border Adjustment
Mechanism (CBAM) fordern“, betont WSM-Hauptgeschäftsführer Christian Vietmeyer. Der WSM
erwarte, dass sich deutsche Politiker dafür auch auf europäischer Ebene einsetzen, um die
internationale Wettbewerbsfähigkeit der hiesigen Unternehmen zu schützen.

 

 

mehr Informationen: WSM

Fotos: Vietmeyer: Mourad ben Rhouma

weite Fotos: fotolia

 

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